Overwatch Rarity Odds for Loot Boxes Revealed for the Public

ATVI stock

ATVI stock

It is worth noting that apart from State-sanctioned lotteries, all forms of gambling are illegal (if still rampant) in China, apart from Hong Kong and Macau, which are still governed under more European legal systems.

The developers, Blizzard, insists they're not rigged, and they've finally released official loot box odds to support their claim. An Epic item appears in an average of one out of every 5.5 boxes, but the Legendary items only appear in an average of one out of every 13.5 boxes.

Apparently, the odds for acquiring the three item rarities in Overwatch were disclosed back in March through Blizzard China.

Overwatch is objectively a really good game.

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After tossing $40 at Overwatch for 50 loot boxes and a shot at some randomized goodies, there's nearly nothing worse than the dwindling hope as nothing good pops out of the boxes and the number of unopened boxes shrinks faster than your bank account. The math came out to a 17 percent chance at scoring an Epic and a 7.2 percent chance at a Legendary.

It's interesting that the numbers were also not supplied for rerolling chests, as that's a primary means of spending in-game currency. There is also speculation that, much like Activision Blizzard's Hearthstone, the loot rates include a "pity timer" where the chance of a legendary item increases with each box opened without one. As in Overwatch, both types of blind-bag items can be acquired both by paying and by playing. Today, Blizzard did their due diligence (via Eurogamer). Hearthstone packs are similar, with at least one rare card in every pack, an epic card in every five, and a legendary card in every 20. They're cheap, often unsatisfying casino thrills sloppily spread atop games with otherwise rewarding mechanics, and odds don't tell the full story when, say, you get multiple repeats of skins you already have.

Odds for golden cards were not disclosed. And in ensuring the continued success of Overwatch all around the world, Blizzard has chosen to comply with these measures.

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